34  The Decoding Threshold

Wang et al. (2019) proposed the “Decoding Threshold Hypothesis” which posits that students below a certain proficiency level in single word reading will experience stagnant comprehension growth as they struggle with basic word recognition. More generally, nearly every aspect of middle school and high school depends on basic literacy skills. Thus we might expect to see evidence for a “Decoding Threshold” for skills beyond comprehension per se. For example Figure 33.3 reveals a Decoding Threshold for performance on a high-stakes summative assessment (see Section 33.2.3).

The Decoding Threshold can also be appreciated by examining the relationship between ROAR-Word and ROAR-Sentence in middle school and high school students. Based on 19272 observations from 11346 middle school and high school students, we fit a generalized additive model (GAM) to visualize the relationship between ROAR-Word and ROAR-Sentence. Figure 34.1 shows the pattern predicted by the Decoding Threshold Hypothesis: A steep relationship between single word reading and sentence reading efficiency above a certain threshold of word reading skills.

Figure 34.1: (A) Relationship between single word reading (ROAR-Word) and sentence reading efficiency (ROAR-Sentence). (B) Derivative of the spline fit showing how the slope of the relationship between ROAR-Word and ROAR-Sentence flattens out below a certain threshold of decoding skills (i.e., the Decoding Threshold)

Fitting a longitudinal growth curve model to 5537 observations from 1552 students with at least 3 timepoints of data, we can see that growth rates are steeper for students above a decoding threshold. Figure 34.2 shows the same pattern as Figure 34.1: A steep relationship between single word reading and sentence reading efficiency above a certain threshold of word reading skills.

Figure 34.2: (A) Relationship between single word reading (ROAR-Word) and sentence reading efficiency (ROAR-Sentence) based on longitudinal data. (B) Derivative of the spline fit showing how the rate of development of sentence reading efficiency increases above a certain threshold of decoding skills (i.e., the Decoding Threshold)

References

Wang, Zuowei, John Sabatini, Tenaha O’Reilly, and Jonathan Weeks. 2019. “Decoding and Reading Comprehension: A Test of the Decoding Threshold Hypothesis.” Journal of Educational Psychology 111 (3): 387–401.